The 98th Academy Awards ceremony will take place on Sunday, March 15, and the voting has closed. There are no more precursor awards, there is no more campaigning to be done. Everything is locked in place until the results are gloriously revealed on Hollywood’s most important stage. So who is going to win? Well, I’ve endeavored to predict just that, below. Predicted winners are in bold.

Best Picture

Bugonia
F1
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
One Battle After Another
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Train Dreams

One Battle won the Directors Guild award and the Producers Guild award, so that puts it firmly in first position. Of course, something wild could happen: Sinners rides a wave of positive sentiment (and One Battle backlash) and takes the crown. Or Hamnet somehow rallies, navigating through an edgy-movie vote split and winning on sheer sentimentality. But I think One Battle will prevail in the end. As it will in…